【禁闻】分析﹕放松一胎化 刺激矛盾爆发

2013年11月30日时政
【新唐人2013年11月30日讯】中共在三中全会宣布放松一胎化政策,夫妇一方是独生子女的可以生二胎。但是英国华裔作家马建却语出惊人的指出,放松一胎化会带来民众更大的不平,计划生育政策长期积累的矛盾,将会更猛烈的爆发出来。

计划生育带来的弊病日益凸显,例如﹕人口老龄化,劳动力减少,薪资上涨,外资撤离,男女比例失调等。虽然,中共三中全会宣布﹕放松一胎化政策,但外界认为,放松的幅度有限,因此许多人呼吁﹕全面放开一胎化政策。

不过,中共在废除计划生育政策上并未松口。

英国华裔作家马建着有《阴之道》,他指出,中共一胎化政策已经形成了一个上百万人的利益集团,他们依靠计划生育生存。

英国华裔作家马建:“我记得老百姓有句话,在城市是靠地皮,在乡镇是靠肚皮。这句话的意思就是说,作为一些乡镇企业,计划生育作为一种创收,是很重要的。其实就是靠女人的肚皮。在这种情况下,你想让共产党能够一步就跨出来,是很难的。”

马建透露,去年北京从女人子宫里面刮了四个亿,江西省去年一年就是32个亿,这是能够进到账上被计划生育部门知道的。马建断定,差不多有一半的计生罚款没有入帐,农民直接把钱交上去,计生人员连一个收据都不打。这个情况大部分发生在农村。

马建说,要想取消这样一个“通过女人的子宫”养活一批人的“产业”,确实困难。

马建:“你想想,广东电白县,计划生育巡回法庭,它一年的指标就是三千万。就是它必须从女人的子宫刮出三千万,这是他们的目标,巡回法庭的工作指标。那么这三千万,这样‘得’刮掉多少女人的子宫,才能刮出这么多钱来?”

1991年在中国山东冠县,搞了一个很大的运动叫“百日无孩”,就是从5月10号起100天内,县里面任何女人肚子里的孩子都要打出来。当时的口号是“把孩子流了,让党放心”。据说有两万名胎儿从母亲的肚子里被处死。有些胎儿被扔进井里,井都变臭了。

马建说,中国人被训练成了奴隶。我的子宫不是我的,是国家的,应该由国家管理。

但是中国人在慢慢觉醒,反抗在增加。2007年在广西有一次很大的博白暴动,5万多人起来推翻计划生育站,烧了警察局。因为当时罚款太厉害。老百姓交不起罚款,急了。这是1989年以来最大的暴动。

马建认为,当局现在放松一胎化政策,将引爆长期积累的矛盾,带来更猛烈的反抗。

据了解,在中国,估计有三亿多生育年龄段女人,根据官方公布的数字,有一亿多女人已经都结了扎,不能再生育。还有两亿多女人,是带上环避孕。

马建表示,带上环的两亿女人,如果看到有机会可以生二胎的话,会把环取出来。

马建:“你想想,这些女人听到了这些年轻的独生家庭可以生二胎,对她们来讲可能是非常大的一个刺激,这可能会变成一个敌对关系,因为你能生,我不能生,我会非常恨你,我会恨这个社会,我会恨这个制度。为甚么把我的子宫给切断了?为甚么我的子宫不属于我自己?所以一旦放开二胎的话,这些整个计划生育积累到仇恨和这些冤案都会爆发出来。”

中国周围的国家,从韩国、香港、新加坡,到日本,都在号召生育。日本的人口密度比中国多了五倍,仍在鼓励生育。那么,为甚么唯独中共要压制生育?

马建认为,一些人口学者和中共当局错误的相信,不控制生育会带来人口爆炸,资源耗竭,而人口控制可以带来GDP升高。但是,创造GDP的劳动力来源于不断新生的国民,如在广东深圳打工的农民工就有几千万人。马建说,中国所谓的改革开放,就是靠这一批计划生育之外的人所开创的。

采访编辑/秦雪 后制/李智远


Relazing One-Child Policy May Ignite Conflict

During the Third Plenary Session, the Chinese Communist
Party (CCP) announced it will relax the One-Child Policy.
Couples can have a second child, when
either the man or the woman was a single child.
UK based Chinese writer Ma Jian suggests that
relaxing the one-child policy will bring more injustice.
It will bring contradictions accumulated by long-term
family planning policies that will be erupy more violently.

Problems brought about by China's Family Planning
Policies have become more and more prominent.
This includes an aging population, reduction
of labor, wage inflation, withdrawal of foreign
investment, as well as gender imbalances.

The CCP announced during the Third Plenary
Session that it will relax the one-child policy.
Overseas observers think that
this will only have a limited effect.
Many people are calling for full
liberalization of the One-Child Policy.

However, the CCP did not announce
the abolition of the family planning policy.

UK-based Chinese writer Ma Jian, author
of The Dark Road,suggests that the
CCP's one-child policy has formed an
interest group of over one million people.
They rely on the family planning for their survival.

Ma Jian: "There is a saying among people:
'The city relies on land, the township relies on belly.'
It means family planning (women's belly) is an
important income source to some enterprises.
It is very difficult to hope that the CCP will step out of it."

Ma Jian revealed that the Beijing government
earned 400 million yuan last year, out of abortions.
Jiangxi Province earned 320 million yuan last year. These
are the figures the Family Planning department is aware of.
Ma Jian concludes that about half of the
family planning fines were not on the books.
Farmers hand in money to family planning staff without
receipts. These cases happen mostly in the countryside.

Ma Jian said it is indeed difficult to
abolish an industry based on abortion.

Ma Jian: "The annual budget of Guangdong Dianbai
County Family Planning Touring Court is 30 million yuan.
How many abortions did they need to do to reach this goal?"

The local government in Guan County, Shandong Province
held a movement in 1991 called "100 Days without Children".
For 100 days following May 10 1991, every
pregnant woman had to have an abortion.
The slogan was "Have an Abortion to Assure the Party".

It was said twenty thousand babies were killed. Some
were thrown into wells and the wells began to smell.

Ma Jian said that Chinese have been trained to be slaves.

A woman's womb does not belong to herself,
but to the party, and is controlled by the party.

Chinese people are awakening,
with the outbreak of more protests.
In 2007, a large-scale riot, called
the Bobai Riot, took place in Guangxi.
50,000 people, furious about the high amount
of family planning fines, overthrew the family
planning station, and set fire to the police station.

This was the largest uprising since 1989.

Ma Jian thinks that loosening the One-Child Policy now,
will cause explosions over long accumulated conflicts.

There are about 300 million women
at a childbearing age in China.
According to official data, more than 100 million women
went through tubal ligation and can no longer bear children.
Over two hundred million women wear a contraceptive ring.

Ma Jia suggests that the two hundred million women could
stop contraception, and have an opportunity to bear children.

Ma Jian: "Think about it. It might trigger
hostile relationships between women.
Some women who had their uterus cut might hate those
young couples who are allowed to have a second child.
They might hate others and hate society.
Why was my uterus cut? Why
doesn't mine belong to myself?
The accumulated hatred and injustice caused
by the entirety of family planning might explode."

Countries around China, such as South Korea, Hong Kong,
Singapore, and Japan, all encourage people having children.
Japan's population is more than five times denser
than China, so why does the CCP suppress child birth?

Ma Jian thinks some demographers and the CCP
authorities believed the population would explode.
They think natural resources would
be used up, without use of birth control.
Population control can bring GDP increases.

However, the GDP source comes from a young labor force.
There are tens of millions of migrant workers in Shenzhen.
Ma Jian said that China's reform and opening up
was created by those outside of family planning.

Interview & Edit/QinXue Post-Production/LiZhiyuan

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